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Red43
255919.6
54909.3
542025.4
Blue35
692113.7
71410.3
81613.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51350102030406070804335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5420
#13
25.40.4
24.724.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 11.7
6921
#24
13.70.1
11.411.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End3.2
Second
2559
#31
19.60.4
15.315.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End4.1
red by 6.5
816
#29
13.10.1
12.812.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.7
Third
5490
#21
9.30.6
8.57.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End2.9
blue by 1.0
714
#28
10.30.1
8.78.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed