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Red48
164710.9
255919.6
315114.2
Blue51
711017.7
36526.2
632715.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395402060801004851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2559
#31
19.60.3
15.015.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End4.1
blue by 6.6
365
#1
26.20.2
26.326.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End7.0
Second
3151
#19
14.20.3
9.910.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 3.4
7110
#22
17.70.2
13.513.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Third
1647
#30
10.90.3
11.912.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End3.1
blue by 4.3
6327
#32
15.10.3
11.010.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsMissed