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Red81
137019.9
83429.9
7519.5
Blue68
272925.9
164024.6
54909.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656340506070808168

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#2
29.91.3
26.427.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End6.9
red by 4.0
25.90.6
26.126.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End9.2
Second
1370
#23
19.91.3
18.619.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.4
End2.9
blue by 4.6
24.60.6
23.424.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End5.1
Third
75
#5
19.51.3
16.918.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End6.6
red by 10.1
5490
#21
9.30.9
10.010.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned76%HAB Docking oddsEarned