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Red59
21915.1
36526.2
17919.4
Blue73
589528.8
622621.2
81613.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55632040801005973

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
26.20.5
26.226.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End7.0
blue by 2.6
28.80.9
26.627.5
Auto4.9
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Second
219
#33
15.10.5
16.016.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.9
blue by 6.1
6226
#12
21.20.9
21.922.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End8.5
Third
1791
#26
9.40.5
9.710.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End3.5
blue by 3.6
816
#29
13.10.9
11.512.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsEarned