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Red41
20315.2
42311.5
545716.0
Blue48
34116.4
622621.2
164710.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5254204060804148

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5457
#18
16.00.5
17.016.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 5.1
6226
#12
21.20.2
22.822.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End8.5
Second
203
#35
15.20.5
17.917.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 1.2
341
#25
16.40.2
17.417.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End3.2
Third
423
#20
11.50.5
14.313.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End4.0
red by 0.6
1647
#30
10.90.2
11.411.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsMissed