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Red40
219113.3
71410.3
42311.5
Blue56
315114.2
711017.7
249513.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39421020305060704056

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2191
#34
13.30.2
14.214.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End3.2
blue by 4.4
7110
#22
17.71.1
15.816.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Second
423
#20
11.50.2
13.713.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End4.0
blue by 2.8
3151
#19
14.21.1
12.413.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End3.0
Third
714
#28
10.30.2
9.29.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End1.4
blue by 3.0
2495
#14
13.31.1
11.312.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed