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Red18
42311.5
54909.3
164710.9
Blue61
83429.9
249513.3
17919.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37531020306070801861

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
423
#20
11.51.1
13.912.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End4.0
blue by 18.4
834
#2
29.90.7
27.628.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End6.9
Second
1647
#30
10.91.1
11.310.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End3.1
blue by 2.4
2495
#14
13.30.7
12.413.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Third
5490
#21
9.31.4
9.58.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End2.9
blue by 0.1
1791
#26
9.40.7
10.311.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsEarned