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Red48
164024.6
137019.9
632715.1
Blue43
21915.1
20315.2
542025.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65633040507080901004843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.9
24.623.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End5.1
blue by 0.9
5420
#13
25.41.1
27.025.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Second
1370
#23
19.90.9
21.220.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.4
End2.9
red by 4.8
203
#35
15.21.1
16.315.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Third
6327
#32
15.11.0
15.314.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End3.6
red by 0.1
219
#33
15.11.1
16.215.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsMissed