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Red45
58510.3
585118.2
504910.3
Blue58
119720.1
157222.7
742417.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37420102030506070804558

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#13
18.20.0
15.615.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 4.5
1572
#11
22.71.4
16.618.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End4.1
Second
585
#44
10.30.0
8.78.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End1.3
blue by 9.8
20.11.6
11.313.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End6.2
Third
5049
#40
10.30.0
10.710.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.1
End2.9
blue by 7.0
7424
#17
17.31.4
11.512.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsEarned