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Red70
119720.1
349111.8
585118.2
Blue62
138820.9
707712.8
788015.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444330354050556065707062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.2
13.915.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End6.2
blue by 0.8
20.90.8
17.718.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End8.2
Second
5851
#13
18.21.1
15.116.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.2
red by 2.8
7880
#23
15.31.3
13.815.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Third
3491
#33
11.81.9
12.314.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.3
blue by 1.0
7077
#35
12.81.3
9.010.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsEarned