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Red39
58510.3
542919.1
742417.3
Blue40
695713.6
788015.3
396516.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425002060801001203940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5429
#19
19.10.1
16.416.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.7
red by 2.3
3965
#22
16.80.5
15.414.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End5.6
Second
7424
#17
17.30.1
15.215.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End4.0
red by 1.9
7880
#23
15.30.8
15.815.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Third
585
#44
10.30.1
8.68.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End1.3
blue by 3.2
6957
#30
13.60.8
16.115.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed