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Red38
264711.8
9888.2
547414.9
Blue59
504910.3
707712.8
742625.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374802060801003859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5474
#24
14.90.2
14.014.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End3.0
blue by 10.8
7426
#34
25.80.9
23.524.4
Auto5.1
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Second
2647
#41
11.80.4
10.210.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.2
blue by 0.9
7077
#35
12.81.5
13.014.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Third
988
#42
8.20.4
10.410.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 2.1
5049
#40
10.31.5
9.210.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed