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Red40
682112.4
157222.7
682214.7
Blue57
183626.5
761313.3
756710.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505501001504057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#11
22.70.5
19.819.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End4.1
blue by 3.8
26.50.4
25.225.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.8
Second
14.70.5
15.615.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End3.2
red by 1.4
7613
#28
13.30.6
13.514.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Third
6821
#31
12.40.5
11.411.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
red by 2.2
7567
#29
10.30.6
12.913.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed