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Red45
6017.5
138820.9
166112.1
Blue64
585118.2
432215.4
300922.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555801001502004564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
20.920.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End8.2
blue by 1.3
3009
#20
22.20.2
21.321.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End5.9
Second
60
#39
17.50.5
18.317.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End3.2
blue by 0.6
5851
#13
18.20.2
17.918.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Third
1661
#25
12.10.5
12.812.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End2.1
blue by 3.3
4322
#18
15.40.2
15.816.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsEarned