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Red53
682511.1
157222.7
542919.1
Blue47
264711.8
126614.8
300922.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50530204060801005347

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#11
22.70.4
20.520.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End4.1
red by 0.5
3009
#20
22.20.6
21.520.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End5.9
Second
5429
#19
19.10.4
17.818.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.7
red by 4.3
1266
#36
14.80.6
17.016.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End3.3
Third
6825
#38
11.10.6
8.69.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End3.5
blue by 0.8
2647
#41
11.80.9
11.610.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsEarned