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Red76
450125.3
183626.5
99116.8
Blue55
300922.2
682421.9
788015.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5349203040607080907655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.3
18.020.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.8
red by 4.3
3009
#20
22.20.7
19.219.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End5.9
Second
25.32.3
18.220.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End6.5
red by 3.4
6824
#21
21.90.7
17.518.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.1
End3.2
Third
991
#6
16.82.3
13.916.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End7.1
red by 1.5
7880
#23
15.34.4
15.311.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed