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Red49
542919.1
65199.9
742625.8
Blue52
585118.2
682214.7
138820.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595730405070804952

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7426
#34
25.80.6
25.424.7
Auto5.1
Teleop17.8
End2.9
red by 4.8
20.90.1
20.920.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End8.2
Second
5429
#19
19.10.6
19.418.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.7
red by 0.9
5851
#13
18.20.1
18.318.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Third
6519
#16
9.90.8
10.810.0
Auto4.6
Teleop2.1
End3.3
blue by 4.8
14.70.1
14.714.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsEarned