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Red75
695713.6
183626.5
330925.9
Blue94
98738.4
248516.5
502522.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658040601007594

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.9
25.126.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.8
blue by 11.8
987
#1
38.40.3
37.537.8
Auto6.0
Teleop23.3
End9.2
Second
25.90.9
24.024.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End7.1
red by 3.3
5025
#12
22.60.3
22.222.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End4.6
Third
6957
#30
13.61.1
12.513.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End3.3
blue by 2.9
2485
#27
16.50.3
16.116.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed19%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned