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Red44
740010.9
49612.3
680618.9
Blue83
301532.2
698916.9
395016.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405620804483

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6806
#25
18.90.4
15.716.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End4.5
blue by 13.3
32.22.0
28.230.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End9.6
Second
496
#43
12.30.7
11.412.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.7
blue by 4.5
6989
#29
16.93.0
11.814.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End2.5
Third
7400
#46
10.90.4
10.911.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 5.6
3950
#33
16.42.2
13.115.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsEarned