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Red58
559915.8
301532.2
642313.6
Blue55
5229.7
509913.8
179632.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555702040801005855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.2
28.028.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End9.6
red by 0.1
32.11.7
29.928.2
Auto2.6
Teleop22.4
End7.1
Second
5599
#18
15.80.3
11.611.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End3.3
red by 2.0
5099
#47
13.82.3
13.411.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Third
6423
#19
13.60.3
12.813.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 3.9
522
#42DQ
9.72.3
11.08.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed16%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsMissed