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Red37
53319.1
642212.0
642313.6
Blue29
395016.4
5458.0
313714.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404102060803729

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#14
19.10.1
14.814.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End3.3
red by 2.7
3950
#33
16.40.6
16.215.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Second
6423
#19
13.60.1
13.213.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.1
blue by 1.2
3137
#35
14.91.1
10.39.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Third
6422
#39
12.00.1
9.79.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End3.4
red by 4.0
545
#45
8.01.1
12.211.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed