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Red60
773211.4
317124.6
509913.8
Blue67
698916.9
313714.9
27117.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4948354045505560656067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#21
24.60.9
24.225.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
red by 7.5
271
#16
17.10.4
16.717.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End5.6
Second
5099
#47
13.81.6
11.613.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End2.9
blue by 3.1
6989
#29
16.90.6
16.016.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End2.5
Third
7732
#27
11.41.6
10.111.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End2.6
blue by 3.4
3137
#35
14.90.6
12.713.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed