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Red56
87116.5
17517.9
573620.7
Blue23
642212.0
313714.9
287211.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494102060801005623

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5736
#11
20.70.4
19.620.0
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 5.9
3137
#35
14.91.7
13.812.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Second
871
#23
16.50.5
14.915.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End3.7
red by 4.5
6422
#39
12.01.7
13.011.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End3.4
Third
1751
#48
7.90.7
12.112.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End2.1
blue by 3.7
2872
#31
11.71.3
11.810.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed