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Red33
60113.3
17517.9
509913.8
Blue36
5458.0
773211.4
445813.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373515202530404550553336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5099
#47
13.80.5
13.212.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End2.9
red by 0.4
13.40.0
13.013.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Second
601
#40
13.30.5
13.212.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End5.0
red by 1.9
7732
#27
11.40.0
11.311.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End2.6
Third
1751
#48
7.90.5
8.48.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Level
545
#45
8.00.0
8.78.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed