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Red54
501616.1
153711.7
773211.4
Blue56
362416.0
696913.2
642212.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423910203050605456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5016
#30
16.10.1
16.616.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.6
End2.9
red by 0.1
3624
#36
16.01.3
14.415.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End4.1
Second
1537
#34
11.70.1
11.611.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End3.4
blue by 1.5
6969
#32
13.21.3
11.913.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Third
7732
#27
11.40.1
11.311.4
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End2.6
blue by 0.5
6422
#39
12.01.7
10.312.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed