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Red58
26317.3
60113.3
81022.2
Blue77
87035.5
287211.7
27117.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54673040506080901005877

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#5
22.20.5
22.222.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End5.7
blue by 13.4
870
#3
35.50.2
35.435.2
Auto5.3
Teleop21.4
End8.9
Second
263
#28
17.30.5
16.216.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
red by 0.2
271
#16
17.10.2
17.016.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End5.6
Third
601
#40
13.30.6
12.713.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End5.0
red by 1.7
2872
#31
11.70.2
11.411.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed15%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned74%HAB Docking oddsEarned