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Red54
26317.3
87035.5
80611.3
Blue29
509913.8
400616.7
88413.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6439020801005429

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#3
35.50.5
31.431.0
Auto5.3
Teleop21.4
End8.9
red by 18.9
4006
#20
16.70.9
12.511.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End6.8
Second
263
#28
17.30.5
17.817.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
red by 3.5
5099
#47
13.80.9
11.210.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Third
806
#22
11.30.7
11.010.3
Auto1.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 2.2
884
#38
13.50.9
13.212.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsEarned