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Red59
146819.2
263826.6
691112.9
Blue41
35310.5
202715.9
753918.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63482040801005941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.1
26.926.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
red by 7.8
7539
#16
18.80.1
18.718.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Second
19.20.1
19.519.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End5.6
red by 3.3
2027
#12
15.90.1
15.815.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End4.9
Third
6911
#17
12.90.1
13.213.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End2.8
red by 2.4
353
#34
10.50.1
10.410.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End2.7