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Red67
27115.8
317320.0
456713.0
Blue54
728016.9
154617.5
694121.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495802040801006754

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.2
19.119.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End8.2
blue by 1.2
6941
#21
21.10.0
21.020.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Second
271
#9
15.80.2
14.915.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End3.8
blue by 1.8
17.50.0
17.417.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.8
Third
4567
#35
13.00.2
12.112.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 4.0
7280
#18
16.90.0
16.816.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End7.0