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Red69
27115.8
317320.0
456713.0
Blue66
728016.9
154617.5
694121.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505902040801006966

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.3
19.619.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End8.2
blue by 1.2
6941
#21
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Second
271
#9
15.80.3
15.415.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End3.8
blue by 1.8
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.8
Third
4567
#35
13.00.3
12.612.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 4.0
7280
#18
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End7.0