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Red56
234718.8
602420.8
287512.7
Blue69
723921.8
263826.6
694121.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44562060801005669

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#23
20.80.9
17.618.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.9
blue by 5.8
26.61.1
21.222.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Second
18.81.3
10.912.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End2.8
blue by 2.9
7239
#11
21.81.8
14.015.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End6.1
Third
2875
#24
12.70.8
12.713.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 8.4
6941
#21
21.11.1
17.418.5
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed