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Red70
216115.3
1123.0
35819.8
Blue30
234718.8
35310.5
25799.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50392060807030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#10
23.00.4
20.120.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End2.2
red by 4.2
18.80.8
12.211.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End2.8
Second
358
#8
19.80.4
17.117.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.0
End3.8
red by 9.3
353
#34
10.50.8
13.913.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End2.7
Third
15.30.7
10.210.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End6.7
red by 5.9
2579
#31
9.40.8
11.310.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed