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Red50
154617.5
290515.2
263826.6
Blue41
753918.8
202715.9
761113.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544402060801005041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.1
22.322.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
red by 7.8
7539
#16
18.80.0
17.317.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Second
17.50.2
14.314.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.8
red by 1.6
2027
#12
15.90.0
13.613.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End4.9
Third
2905
#33
15.20.1
14.914.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End2.2
red by 2.1
7611
#27
13.10.0
10.510.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed