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Red71
155413.3
694121.1
146819.2
Blue73
154617.5
761113.1
723921.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5144102030406070807173

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6941
#21
21.11.5
19.020.5
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 0.6
7239
#11
21.82.1
17.819.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End6.1
Second
19.22.5
16.519.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End5.6
red by 1.7
17.52.1
14.116.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.8
Third
1554
#37
13.32.5
13.015.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
red by 0.2
7611
#27
13.12.1
10.212.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned