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Red29
286911.0
774810.7
51417.7
Blue59
160116.9
146819.2
234718.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4551204060802959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
514
#22
17.70.9
16.615.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End4.2
blue by 1.5
19.21.1
19.020.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End5.6
Second
2869
#14
11.01.5
14.212.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End2.8
blue by 7.8
18.81.1
13.314.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End2.8
Third
7748
#36
10.71.5
12.310.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 6.2
1601
#25
16.91.2
16.017.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed