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Red45
724210.9
234718.8
1123.0
Blue37
767315.4
286911.0
155413.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060801004537

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#10
23.00.6
22.321.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End2.2
red by 7.6
7673
#26
15.47.2
16.49.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Second
18.81.1
11.610.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End2.8
red by 5.5
1554
#37
13.30.9
11.110.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
Third
7242
#19
10.91.1
11.610.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End3.7
blue by 0.1
2869
#14
11.00.9
13.812.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed