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Red47
287512.7
263826.6
767315.4
Blue37
286911.0
56415.5
160116.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57482040801004737

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.5
24.524.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
red by 9.7
1601
#25
16.91.4
18.817.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Second
7673
#26
15.40.7
14.814.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 0.1
564
#30
15.51.4
14.312.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End5.2
Third
2875
#24
12.70.5
14.714.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 1.7
2869
#14
11.01.4
12.711.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed