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Red55
602420.8
160116.9
27115.8
Blue57
146819.2
216115.3
753918.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4345354050555557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#23
20.80.6
16.917.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.9
red by 1.6
19.20.1
14.113.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End5.6
Second
1601
#25
16.90.9
12.513.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.9
blue by 1.9
7539
#16
18.80.1
15.715.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Third
271
#9
15.80.6
11.612.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End3.8
red by 0.5
15.30.1
12.612.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed