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Red81
1123.0
364624.7
290515.2
Blue63
723921.8
216115.3
602420.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65612040801008163

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.3
24.324.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End8.2
red by 2.9
7239
#11
21.80.1
21.621.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End6.1
Second
11
#10
23.00.3
22.622.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End2.2
red by 2.2
6024
#23
20.80.1
20.720.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Third
2905
#33
15.20.3
14.815.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End2.2
blue by 0.1
15.30.1
15.215.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End6.7