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Red57
146819.2
263826.6
691112.9
Blue0
27115.8
317320.0
456713.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62500204080100570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.3
26.626.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
red by 6.6
3173
#4DQ
20.00.4
19.520.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End8.2
Second
19.20.3
19.319.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End5.6
red by 3.4
271
#9DQ
15.80.4
15.315.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End3.8
Third
6911
#17
12.90.3
13.012.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End2.8
Level
4567
#35DQ
13.00.4
12.513.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.2