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Red45
115517.3
412220.4
286912.0
Blue0
234415.3
166014.2
39511.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54420206080100450

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.4
20.720.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End5.5
red by 5.1
2344
#31DQ
15.30.4
14.915.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Second
1155
#12
17.30.4
17.717.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 3.2
1660
#10DQ
14.20.3
13.814.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
2869
#16
12.00.4
12.311.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End2.8
red by 1.0
395
#26DQ
11.00.3
10.611.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End2.4