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Red64
234415.3
412220.4
640114.6
Blue23
3357.0
341914.4
452811.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060801006423

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.1
18.318.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End5.5
red by 6.0
3419
#46
14.40.9
14.113.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End1.6
Second
2344
#31
15.30.1
12.512.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End4.4
red by 3.9
4528
#43
11.41.3
11.29.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End3.2
Third
14.60.1
14.414.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.8
red by 7.6
335
#41
7.01.3
9.88.4
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed