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Red38
580612.9
115517.3
52027.9
Blue16
578117.2
76689.8
727210.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39340102030506070803816

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#12
17.30.2
16.916.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 0.1
5781
#13
17.21.8
11.910.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Second
5806
#23
12.90.1
11.211.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.8
red by 2.1
7272
#39
10.91.8
11.69.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Third
5202
#17
7.90.1
8.88.7
Auto4.5
Teleop1.0
End2.5
blue by 1.9
7668
#34
9.81.8
8.97.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed