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Red45
6407.9
438314.7
529812.5
Blue27
663611.8
64355.2
559914.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35362025304045504527

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4383
#28
14.70.9
10.811.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 0.1
5599
#35
14.80.9
15.514.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End3.2
Second
5298
#15
12.50.5
11.712.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End2.4
red by 0.6
6636
#37
11.80.8
10.19.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Third
640
#27
7.90.9
11.512.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.8
End2.1
red by 2.7
6435
#50
5.21.3
7.35.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed