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Red34
160011.3
663611.8
289511.3
Blue61
115517.3
286912.0
69428.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3356204050607080903461

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6636
#37
11.80.2
11.211.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End2.4
blue by 16.2
694
#6
28.10.6
24.324.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End8.5
Second
1600
#24
11.30.3
9.19.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End3.9
blue by 6.0
1155
#12
17.30.6
18.419.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Third
2895
#40
11.30.3
10.711.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 0.7
2869
#16
12.00.6
9.810.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed