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Red48
188020.2
727210.9
32048.6
Blue26
703611.7
68737.0
12309.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342701020405060704826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.1
17.418.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.4
End5.9
red by 8.5
7036
#19
11.70.1
9.89.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End3.1
Second
7272
#39
10.91.8
8.910.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 1.7
1230
#42
9.20.1
8.08.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End2.4
Third
3204
#49
8.61.8
5.87.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End1.8
red by 1.5
6873
#51
7.00.1
7.67.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed