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Red34
452811.4
33321.3
705014.7
Blue40
166014.2
33411.3
578117.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45380102030506070803440

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#11
21.30.7
18.718.0
Auto3.1
Teleop15.5
End2.7
red by 4.1
5781
#13
17.20.1
11.911.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Second
7050
#30
14.71.0
12.211.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End4.6
red by 0.5
1660
#10
14.20.1
11.411.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
4528
#43
11.41.0
12.211.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End3.2
red by 0.1
334
#33
11.30.0
13.113.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed