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Red29
452811.4
580612.9
6407.9
Blue65
286912.0
542112.2
457122.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33471020406070802965

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5806
#23
12.90.2
12.712.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.8
blue by 9.4
4571
#14
22.30.4
22.823.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End3.0
Second
4528
#43
11.40.3
11.110.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End3.2
blue by 0.8
5421
#22
12.20.6
11.111.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End3.2
Third
640
#27
7.90.3
7.77.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.8
End2.1
blue by 4.1
2869
#16
12.00.4
10.410.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed