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Red85
703611.7
69428.1
578117.2
Blue34
61959.8
46409.4
438314.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5233204060801008534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#6
28.11.3
25.526.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End8.5
red by 13.4
4383
#28
14.70.2
14.214.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
5781
#13
17.22.1
13.415.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.9
red by 7.4
6195
#32
9.80.2
8.99.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End2.7
Third
7036
#19
11.72.1
9.912.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End3.1
red by 2.4
4640
#20
9.40.2
8.68.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed