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Red45
46409.4
166014.2
542112.2
Blue40
727210.9
160011.3
39511.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340102030405060704540

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1660
#10
14.20.4
13.013.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 2.9
1600
#24
11.30.2
11.111.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End3.9
Second
5421
#22
12.20.5
11.712.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End3.2
red by 1.2
395
#26
11.00.1
10.010.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End2.4
Third
4640
#20
9.40.5
8.89.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 1.5
7272
#39
10.90.2
10.710.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed